Outlet: Arab News

Language: English

Abstract: As Tunisia approaches its 2024 presidential election, incumbent Kais Saied's reelection seems highly probable, signaling a continuation and deepening of the authoritarian model that has characterized his first term. Under Saied's rule, Tunisia has seen significant constitutional changes that have concentrated executive power, suppressed dissent, and eroded civil liberties. Despite localized protests, the international response from major powers such as the US and EU has been tepid. Saied’s administration has carefully navigated opposition from Tunisia’s influential unions, particularly the General Labor Union, while stalling much-needed economic reforms in favor of unsustainable foreign aid. Saied’s constitutional maneuvers, including his 2021 self-coup and the 2022 referendum, have consolidated his power and raised concerns that he may seek to extend his presidency beyond constitutional limits. His proposed restrictions on foreign funding for NGOs reflect a broader strategy to curb civil society and further entrench his rule. Saied's strong grip on power offers stability amid Tunisia’s economic challenges, but it also signals further suppression of democratic freedoms, as he seeks to entrench his regime through authoritarian means, militarization, and manipulation of public institutions.

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