HAFED AL-GHWELL

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How a warming planet threatens the Nile Delta

Outlet: Arab News

Language: English

Abstract: The Nile Delta, a critical hub of Egypt's historical, agricultural, and cultural heritage, faces a severe ecological crisis driven by climate change. Rising temperatures and sea levels threaten this densely populated region, home to nearly 50 million people. Predictions suggest that 25 percent of the Delta could be submerged within decades, displacing millions and devastating local economies. The Delta's vulnerability is exacerbated by irregular weather patterns, leading to unpredictable water availability and severe impacts on agriculture. Egypt's government is responding with an $8 billion adaptation plan, including seawalls and desalination projects. However, these measures face challenges, such as soil salinity and energy-intensive desalination processes. A promising alternative is circular migration, which can reduce pressure on the Delta by allowing temporary relocation during environmental stress, fostering resilience through remittances, and knowledge transfers. Effective implementation of this strategy requires careful management of migrants' rights and welfare, social inclusion, and job creation.

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