Why Libya may be doomed to another lost decade

Outlet: Arab News

Language: English

Abstract: In the weeks ahead, Libya faces a critical period as the Libyan Political Dialogue Forum (LPDF) struggles to establish a constitutional framework for December elections amid a decade of strife. Despite diplomatic efforts, external actors and a security void pose significant challenges. Central to Libya's future is resolving the legitimacy of elections and uniting the military. The Joint Military Commission (JMC) endeavors to secure a lasting ceasefire but contends with conflicting interests. While both sides seek stability, they diverge on approaches. The rush for progress risks transforming forums into tools for coercion rather than cooperation. The Government of National Unity (GNU) has made compromises, such as settling debts, risking Haftar's compliance at the expense of military integration. External backing complicates integration and the withdrawal of foreign fighters. With deadlock looming, Libya may persist in hosting foreign forces, undermining its sovereignty. Despite peace talks, deep-seated divisions endure, highlighting the formidable path to stability.

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